![]() I walked out of there and said ‘Scott, get it done,'” Harper recalled.īut Harper says the Nats’ offer was not to his liking. Cha-ching.Harper says that he met with the Nats owner at the owner’s home - Harper’s only meeting not in Las Vegas - and felt good enough that he told his agent to get a deal done with Washington. He did it in 2015 at age 22, and may be doing it again in 2017. Next: Potential trades from and to the AL Eastīryce Harper may be the first true inverse of that scenario on the free agent market: A player so young, and so good, that teams will be willing to pay him $37 million when he’s 40 years old, for the 10+ years that he will reasonably be capable of putting up an honest-to-goodness 10 WAR season. When a young player signs a long-term deal with an organization buying out his arbitration years- Jose Quintana and Chris Sale come to mind-the player is trading away a bigger payday down the road for more money and security up-front. A $400 million offer almost seems insulting. Also consider what extra teams might be willing to pay for the security of production Harper brings to the table: only once in his short career has his season WAR total been below 3.5, and even then he only played in 100 games. Now factor in a bidding war for arguably the best player of a generation, someone who might be considered, one day, the best player of all time. Through this point in 2017, Harper’s efforts-suspension and all-have been worth an estimated $22 million. The metric estimated his 2015 campaign alone at otherwise costing teams $76 million. Three times in his career, Bryce Harper has flirted with a performance which Dollars rated as being worth $30 million. This metric does not assume bidding wars, but rather attempts to put a dollar figure on what MLB teams are paying for relative levels of performance available on the free agent market. An estimation of what a player’s production would have cost any given team on the open market. The Nationals, as well as other organizations, will be betting on the continued, perhaps increasing, production of someone already on a Hall of Fame trajectory.Įnter FanGraphs’ Dollars metric. At the end of the 2018 season, Harper will still be only 26 years old, freshly so at that, not turning 27 until the end of the 2019 season. Of course, GM’s wouldn’t be vying to pay Harper just for his past performance.
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